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DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. (AP) — Michael McDowell was glued to Brad Keselowski’s bumper, watching and waiting for his chance to win the Daytona 500.

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Joey Logano was the leader, the laps were winding down and yet no one had the nerve to pull out of traffic. McDowell was certain Keselowski would go for it eventually, and when he did, McDowell would play his hand.

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On the final lap, Keselowski attempted to dart around Logano, but Logano threw a block on his teammate that crashed them both. McDowell stayed right where he was, flat in the gas, and drove through a crash scene for a stunning upset.

When the odds are with a + sign, they represent the amount of money you would receive back from a bet of $100. When the odds are displayed with a - sign, that represents the amount if money the bettor would have to wager to receive a $100 profit. For example, if the odds are +750, the bettor would receive $750 dollars if their bet was successful. Click to Unmute. This opens in a new window. The magic number in sports betting is -110 because it defines the amount required by a sportsbook to earn $100 on either side of most wagers. A bettor must lay $110 to win $100 when wagering on point spreads, which are set by oddsmakers with hopes of getting equal action on both sides. Odds range from 0 to infinity, while probabilities range from 0 to 1, and hence are often represented as a percentage between 0% and 100%: reversing the ratio switches odds for with odds against, and similarly probability of success with probability of failure.

“I knew he would go for a race-winning move and my plan was to let him make that move,” McDowell said. ”I knew I didn’t want to make my move too early, so I was committed to the (Keselowski) bumper and when he made the move, the hole opened up.”

A 100-1 underdog when the race began Sunday afternoon, McDowell won for the first time in 358 Cup starts when the checkered flag finally flew about 15 minutes after midnight. The race was stopped by rain for almost six hours and ended nine hours after the green flag waved at Daytona International Speedway.

“There’s been lots of years where I was wondering what the heck am I doing and why am I doing it?” McDowell said. “I always knew if I just kept grinding that one day everything will line up and go right.”

NASCAR’s season opener was stacked with storylines. Denny Hamlin was trying for a record third-consecutive Daytona 500 victory, and the team he started with Michael Jordan was debuting with driver Bubba Wallace.

Kyle Larson was back after nearly a year in exile for using a racial slur, and reigning Cup champion Chase Elliott was going for his first Daytona 500 win.

And all the way at the back of the field, 1990 Daytona 500 winner Derrike Cope made what he said would be his final NASCAR start. At 62 he was the oldest driver in the field, and his upset victory 31 years ago was considered the biggest in race history.

McDowell didn’t take that title from Cope, partly because McDowell is a strong superspeedway racer capable of mixing it up with the usual suspects. If he could ever find himself in the right place at the right time, McDowell figured he could steal a win.

“It’s been a tough road for me. I’ve had to spend a lot of years grinding it out,” McDowell said. His career has been stabilized by four seasons driving for Front Row Motorsports, a tiny team in the Ford family that can hold its own at Daytona.

McDowell was in the mix even before the two Penske cars derailed the finish. His Ford was strong enough to push Keselowski, and McDowell figured with the checkered flag in sight, he’d try to pass Keselowski as they exited the final turn.

Logano’s block of Keselowski — it seemed late, Keselowski had already started to pull alongside his teammate — triggered a fiery multi-car pileup that was in McDowell’s rearview mirror.

“Brad was turning right, Joey was turning left and I went right through the middle,” McDowell said. “It’s just kind of a blur from there.”

Keselowski subtly blamed Logano for the messy finish.

“I wanted to make the pass to win the Daytona 500 and it ended up really bad,” Keselowski said. “I don’t feel like I made a mistake, but I can’t drive everybody else’s car. So frustrating.”

Logano had no explanation for the ending.

”Pandemonium, I guess. Chaos struck,” said Logano, who then praised McDowell. “It’s a real bummer that none of the Penske cars won, but at least a Ford won and I’m really happy for McDowell.

“If we couldn’t win, I’m really happy to see McDowell win this thing.”

McDowell, who led less than half of a lap, drag-raced Elliott and Austin Dillon until NASCAR finally called a caution.

A batch of solid contenders were knocked from the race just 15 laps in by a 16-car accident that began at the front of the field. It thinned the pack and set up a showdown between Kevin Harvick and Hamlin.

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Hamlin and Harvick had the two best cars but pit strategy ended Hamlin’s shot at winning a record third consecutive Daytona 500. The Ford drivers pitted first as a group, followed by the Chevrolets a lap later and finally the Toyotas.

But the Toyota group has just five cars and they couldn’t group back together to reclaim control of the race. It put Logano, Keselowski and the Ford drivers out front, and Logano led the final 25 laps until Keselowski made his move.

McDowell held off Elliott and Dillon. Harvick finished fourth, and Hamlin was fifth after leading a race-high 98 laps.

Only 11 cars finished on the lead lap.

___

More AP NASCAR: https://apnews.com/NASCAR

More than 26 million Americans will bet close to $7 billion on Super Bowl 55 this year. And with a dozen states now offering licensed sports betting online, the share of those betting legally on the NFL’s biggest game online (PlayUSA officially projects at least $500 million) is only getting bigger.

If you’re in the market to bet on the Super Bowl online for the first time, we’re here to walk you through it. That includes which states you can legally bet in, how to open a new sportsbook account and, in particular, how a first-time Super Bowl bettor can smartly allocate their bets.

States where you can legally bet Super Bowl 55 online

Super Bowl 55 will feature the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs taking on the hometown Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida on Feb. 7, 2021.

Here are the states where you can currently legally bet on Super Bowl 55 online:

  • Colorado
  • Delaware
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Iowa
  • Michigan
  • New Hampshire
  • New Jersey
  • Pennsylvania
  • Tennessee
  • Virginia
  • West Virginia

If you live in one of those states and have yet to create a betting account at an online sportsbook, you can jump to our step-by-step instructions here.

Best Way to Bet $100 on Super Bowl 55

If all 26 million Americans had bet that $7 billion on the Kansas City Chiefs at the offered -1.5 spread for Super Bowl 54 last year, it would have broken the bank. The fact that it didn’t happen shows that while most fans and so-called NFL experts like to think they know what they’re doing when it comes to Super Bowl betting, not many do.

The NFL, and especially the Super Bowl, is unpredictable. That’s why, when it comes to betting on the Super Bowl for the first time, it’s a good idea to bet within an affordable budget and spread your action around to bets that offer a modest return with as little risk as possible.

Here’s a look at one way to drop a small budget on a few solid Super Bowl bets.

Set a Super Bowl Betting Budget

The first thing to do is set a budget for your Super Bowl bets. $100 is a typical amount for many, as long as you can afford to lose it. But this formula works just as well with $50, $25 or even less.

No Super Bowl betting strategy will guarantee a return on your investment so make sure you won’t miss the money you bet if it doesn’t pay off. If $100 is too much, bet less. Just use the individual betting amounts listed below as percentages rather than dollar value.

Once your budget is set, you’ll want to spread it out a little. Diversification helps even the risk out and enhances your chances of winning at least some cash. Here’s one way you can split your resources up:

  • $50 on a basic bet like the moneyline, spread, or total
  • $20 on a Super Bowl MVP bet
  • $30 on simple props

If you prefer your percentages illustrated in pie chart form, here you have it:

Super Bowl 55 Betting Breakdown

If you’re following a plan to drop a small budget on a few optimal Super Bowl 55 bets this year, we can loosely recommend the following. Here’s how the current game line looks across various US online sportsbooks:

What does odds 100 mean

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Take the Chiefs at -3

100 odds boost

For your 50% basic bet, take the Kansas City Chiefs at -3 as long as the odds are reasonable. If they’re not, take the over on 56.5 points because these odds are reasonable and both teams are capable of putting up a ton of points.

  • Bet: $50 on Chiefs -3 at -116
  • Return: $43.10
  • Total Payout: $93.10

(A point spread of “-3” means the Chiefs, as the favorite, need to win by more than 3 points for your bet to win. If you need more info on each bet type, check our pages on point spreads, moneylines and totals (over/under).)

Mahomes for MVP

It’s not the sexiest bet but for your 20% Super Bowl MVP bet, take Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes. He won it last year and, even though he’s the favorite to repeat, just as the Chiefs are favorites to win the game, you should still find a decent enough price. QBs have won the Super Bowl MVP 8 out of the last 11 years, so it’s a safe bet.

  • Bet: $20 on Mahomes MVP at +100
  • Return: $20
  • Total Payout: $40

(If you want to take a flyer for a bigger payout, DraftKings has a Super Bowl prop bet for ‘Tight End to Win MVP” at +2000 right now. If you saw the numbers Travis Kelce put up last week, it could be worth it. Learn more on Super Bowl MVP betting here.)

Coin Flip, Mahomes Combo for Props

Speaking of prop bets … for your 30% allocation to props, a lot of fans like to start with the coin toss. It’s not a “great” bet per se, but it’s one of the highest volume props on Super Bowl Sunday.

If you can get -103 odds on a 50/50 prop like this one, just shrug your shoulders and take it for fun, as that’s an affordable vig.

For the rest of your props, stack it up by looking for combo props that combine Mahomes putting up decent stats with a Chiefs win or Mahomes MVP win. Combos will pay better odds than the events happening individually.

Stacking them up with your other Chiefs and Mahomes bets will make sure you bank a decent payday if the game goes like most experts think it will. We listed on above but a second is not a bad idea either.

+100

If you want a simpler bet, try the very decent Travis Kelce to score the first TD at +600.

  • Coin Toss: Heads. Odds -103. $10 bet to win $9.71
  • First TD Scorer: Travis Kelce. Odds +600. $10 bet to win $60.
  • Mahomes Score + Win: Odds +425. $10 bet to win $42.50.
  • Total Payout:$19.71 + $70 + $52.50 = $142.21

Add ’em all up and you’re looking at $275.31 – not bad for an afternoon on the sofa.

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More on Super Bowl Betting

To see the full range of Super Bowl point spreads, moneylines and totals odds across online sportsbooks in every legal betting state, see our full Super Bowl odds board.

See our Super Bowl Prop Bets page for more guidance on the hundreds of off-field and off-field prop bets you can make including props like:

  • National anthem length over/under
  • Halftime show artist costume change over/under
  • What color Gatorade will be poured over the winning coach?
  • Will there be a defensive score? Yes/No
  • Will there be a kick return for a TD? Yes/No
  • Will there be a pick six? Yes/No
  • Will there be a safety? Yes/No

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How to open a Super Bowl betting account

If you’re on board with Super Bowl betting and want to try out our betting recommendations above (or not), you’ll need an account. If you live in (or will visit) one of the legal betting states above, there’s a simple three-step process to follow to get your betting account set up.

1. Register For An Account

Register for an account with any online sportsbook through the links provided on any of our legal US betting state pages. For mobile betting, simply download the sportsbook app from the sign-up page before or after creating your account.

Personal information required includes your name and the last four digits of your Social. If you want to claim a bonus or free bet offer, use our promo codes to get the best new player bonus available.

2. Make A Deposit

Use your free bets and/or deposit money in your online sportsbook account with any one of the available deposit methods. These will almost always include:

  • Credit Cards
  • Debit Cards
  • Online banking services
  • Third-party payment processors (PayPal, Neteller, Skrill etc.)
  • Pay Near Me (Cash at 7-Eleven or CVS locations)
  • Cash at retail sportsbook partners or affiliated casinos

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3. Browse, Click, And Place Bets

Find the Super Bowl 55 betting tab at the online sportsbook you signed up with. Prior to the Super Bowl, they’ll be front and center on the sportsbook or app.

What Does +100 Odds Mean

With literally hundreds of Super Bowl lines and props to pick from, just click on any line you want to bet. A bet slip will be instantly created allowing you to enter a betting amount, see the potential payout, and place the bet.

5 Out Of 100 Odds

You can then go back to browsing through the Super Bowl 55 betting markets, add more bets to your slip, and choose whether to turn multiple bets into a parlay bet. Enter a betting amount for each, see the potential payouts, and place each bet at the same time.