How To Bet Nba Playoffs
- Betting On Basketball Totals Betting on the total points scored in a game is a very popular form of betting on basketball. Depending on the league or tournament, the number of points scored will vary significantly. In the NBA, point totals will land in the range of 180 to 220 points game to game, with the average in the mid 190 point range.
- Yes, betting on the NBA playoffs is legal and USA gamblers have two options. They can wager with a domestic sportsbook located regionally, or they can visit an online sportsbook operating legally outside of the United States.
- Perhaps the best way to make money from NBA playoffs betting is to target the postseason games individually. This is certainly the most popular way to bet on the NBA playoffs, and also the most straightforward. Practically speaking, betting on NBA playoff.
Part of how to bet on NBA playoffs action entails noting the odds numbers. A team with negative odds is a favorite to win. The negative number reflects how much you must wager to win $100 on a bet. A positive number is an underdog, with a higher total meaning the team has less of a chance to win.
We are in the midst of the NBA’s All-Star break, which means the playoff race is about to begin in earnest. We are actually well past the actual halfway point of the regular season, though, and most teams have around 25 games left to play.
We already have a pretty good idea as to which teams will be appearing in the postseason. The Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Clippers are 3 heavy championship favorites. An awful lot would have to go wrong between now and the end of the season for the Toronto Raptors, Boston Celtics, Houston Rockets, Utah Jazz, Denver Nuggets, Indiana Pacers, Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers to miss out on the playoffs, too.
There are still a few interesting races to watch, though. The bottom-two playoff spots in the Eastern Conference are still up for grabs. As are the bottom-three spots in the West. No team has been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs yet, but it’s safe to say we won’t be seeing teams like the Knicks, Hawks, Cavaliers or Warriors playing beyond mid-April this year.
BetOnline has a fresh batch of NBA prop betting options posted in anticipation of the unofficial second half of the regular season. Let’s browse the odds and try to identify some betting value.
Eastern Conference To Make/Miss Playoffs
Will the Wizards Qualify? | Odds at BetOnline |
Yes | +800 |
No | -1250 |
The Eastern Conference realistically has three teams battling for two playoff spots. The Brooklyn Nets and Orlando Magic, who qualified last season, are trying to stave off a late surge from the Washington Wizards. Washington entered the break 3 games behind the Magic for the last playoff spot. The Chicago Bulls are lurking 5 games back, but I’m not at all confident that Chicago can close that gap in time.
Brooklyn and Orlando are both sub-.500 this season, but that’s good enough this year. The Wizards have one of the worst defenses in the history of the NBA in terms of efficiency, yet a weak conference combined with a solid offense has Washington on the fringe of the playoff chase.
How To Bet Nba Playoffs Predictions
The Wiz are allowing 113 points per 100 possessions this season. Only the Cavaliers have been more porous defensively. The offensive rating has dipped from where it was early in the season, but Washington is still a respectable 12th in offense, scoring 109.3 points per 100 possessions.
The Wizards have been beset by injuries all year long, but they’re largely healthy exiting the break. Scott Brooks’ club has won 5 of 7 overall, a stretch that includes an important win at home over the Nets. Getting swept in the season series by the Magic will obviously hurt the Wizards’ playoff hopes from a tiebreaker perspective, but they will still have 2 more chances to face Brooklyn before the season ends.
It’s a long shot, but I would be fine with taking a flier on the Wizards given the +800 odds of sneaking into the postseason. There’s no reason to even consider “no” at -1250, of course.
Western Conference to Make/Miss Playoffs
Will the Grizzlies Qualify? | Odds at BetOnline |
Yes | +170 |
No | -200 |
Will the Trail Blazers Qualify? | Odds at BetOnline |
Yes | +200 |
No | -240 |
The Grizzlies weren’t expected to be a playoff team at all this season, yet Memphis has made huge strides thanks to impressive play from its young core. Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. look like future stars, while the team has gotten solid contributions from the likes of Jonas Valanciunas, Brandon Clarke, Dillon Brooks and several others along the way.
If the season ended today, Memphis would be in. The Grizzlies are currently occupying the eighth and final Western Conference playoff spot. They’re 4.5 games back of the Mavs for the No. 7 seed and 4 games north of Portland.
The Blazers have crawled back into the playoff race thanks to a surge from Damian Lillard in recent weeks, but 4 games is still a lot of ground to make up with about 25 games left to play.
The Grizzlies got a much-needed win over the Blazers at home in the final game before the break. The teams will meet twice more before the season is out, with both games coming in Portland.
One of these teams is going to make the playoffs, which makes the fact that both are listed at plus-money to do so pretty interesting. The Grizz obviously have a leg up in the standings as of now, but that’s a young roster being guided by a first-year head coach. Portland is a veteran-heavy team that has made the playoffs in each of the last 6 years.
Memphis looks like the slightly safer bet at this point, so betting “yes” at +170 is pretty appealing. Portland is worth a flier at +200, but the Grizzlies eking them out looks like the best bet here.
How Many First-Round Sweeps in the Playoffs?
How Many First-Round Sweeps? | Odds at BetOnline |
Over 1.5 | +140 |
Under 1.5 | -160 |
16 of the 30 teams qualify for the playoffs in the NBA. That means some pretty mediocre teams wind up making it, and there’s a strong chance we get multiple sub-.500 clubs in the tournament this year. With the top seeds in both conferences facing the lowest seeds in the first round, we get a fair number of sweeps in the early stages of the NBA playoffs.
Last year, we had a pair of first-round sweeps, both of which came in the Eastern Conference. In 2017-18, there was just one sweep. There were two first-round sweeps in each of the two years prior to that. The 2014-15 playoffs brought three.
I’d imagine the Bucks will sweep whichever team they wind up facing in the first round, and I wouldn’t put it past the Raptors or Celtics to do the same. The Western Conference is tougher to peg, but I like the Lakers’ chances of easily disposing of the Grizzlies if that winds up being the 1-8 matchup.
Milwaukee looks like the only clear-cut sweep, but I’m happy to take the upside you can get in the +140 odds on the over on 1.5 first-round knockouts. The Lakers look like the next-likeliest candidate to get the job done.
Will a No. 2 Seed Win the Title?
Will No. 2 Seed Win the Championship? | Odds at BetOnline |
Yes | +450 |
No | -600 |
The Raptors won it all last year as the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. Toronto got past the top-seeded Bucks in the Eastern Conference Finals before dethroning the top seed from the West, Golden State, in the Finals.
Toronto is currently in the driver’s seat to nab the No. 2 seed in the East again. The Raps are 6 games back of the Bucks for the top spot and 1.5 games north of Boston. Miami, who is 5.5 behind Toronto, looks almost locked into the No. 4 spot.
This may sound blasphemous considering the Raptors just enjoyed a 15-game winning streak, but I’d bet on Boston winning it all before Toronto at this point. The Celtics have been flying under the radar all year long, and I’m not sure why. I don’t know where the ball is going in crunch time for the Raptors now that Kawhi Leonard has skipped town.
The Nuggets are a game up on the Clippers for the No. 2 seed out West, with the Jazz 1.5 behind. I think the only viable title threat of this trio is the Clippers, and I do like LAC’s chances of winding up in the No. 2 slot right behind the Lakers by the time the season ends.
If the Celtics and/or Clippers finish in the No. 2 seeds in either conference, I love betting “yes” here at +450. Any other combination of No. 2 seeds will have me leaning much more strongly in the “no” direction.
Will a No. 1 Seed Win the Title?
Will No. 1 Seed Win the Championship? | Odds at BetOnline |
Yes | -120 |
No | +100 |
At this point, it would be a major surprise if the Bucks and Lakers didn’t finish on top of their respective conferences. Milwaukee seems to have the East going away, while LA has a decent 4-game cushion over Denver coming out of the All-Star break.
I’m a lot more bullish on the Bucks’ chances of winning it all than I am the Lakers’ at this juncture, but neither result would be much of a surprise. I’d go ahead and bet “yes” here at -120 before the odds get any longer. There is still value to be had here.
Will the Bucks, Lakers or Clippers Win the Championship?
Will Bucks, Lakers or Clippers Win the Title? | Odds at BetOnline |
Yes | -280 |
No | +240 |
It’s hard not to imagine the Bucks facing one of the LA teams in this year’s NBA Finals. I was an advocate of betting on the Raptors last year, but the absence of Kawhi has me thinking Milwaukee has this year’s Eastern Conference crown in the bag. Boston can give them a series, but I would still expect the Bucks to prevail if I had to choose.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has essentially become unguardable, and the Bucks have enough other talent on the roster to make a deep run. Milwaukee has a point differential of plus-12.1 so far this season, which is absolutely unheard of at this level. The Bucks have been the league’s best team by a pretty healthy margin.
While the West has more depth, it’s still fair to say that the challengers are a tier below the Los Angeles squads. The Rockets are experimenting by going all-in on small ball. While I do think that can work, I’m still skeptical that Houston has enough firepower to get past the true titans at the top of the league.
Denver and Utah just look like they’re a year or two away. Neither team has the star power to compete with the likes of LeBron James and Anthony Davis or Kawhi Leonard and Paul George.
NBA sportsbooks set the Bucks as -140 favorites to win the East, while the Lakers (+165) and Clippers (+200) still offer decent value to win the West. Frankly, betting on either of those Western Conference outcomes makes more sense than settling for the -280 odds on any of these 3 teams winning the title this season.
If you must bet on this prop, though, I’d take the -280 and run for the hills. Now that the trade deadline has come and gone, it’s pretty clear that one of these three will lift the O’Brien Trophy at season’s end.
The 2018-19 NBA playoffs tip off on Saturday. Thanks to the spread of legal sports betting across the country, there are now eight states where you can bet on the action.
The NBA playoffs are a lot like the NCAA Tournament with a few significant differences.
Instead of a single-elimination tournament, the NBA playoffs is a best-of-seven elimination tournament. Plus, instead of playing for a National Championship, the NBA playoffs determine which team will be this season’s NBA champions.
Additionally, the NBA playoffs feature only 16 teams, not 64. Only the top eight teams from each of the Eastern and Western conferences battle it out for the title.
Each team’s regular season record determines seeded matchups and position in the final conference standings after the 82-game NBA regular season wraps up.
When it comes to betting on the NBA playoffs, it’s not much different than betting on the NBA during the regular season. Except that in the playoffs you can wager on the outcome of individual games, each seven-game series, and who will win it all.
Basic NBA playoffs betting
Basic NBA playoffs bets available at most legal sportsbooks across the US include:
- Futures: A bet on one of the playoff teams still in contention to win a series, conference or the NBA Finals. Odds are adjusted as the playoffs continue.
- Moneylines: A bet on one team to win an NBA playoff game paying either negative (favorite) or positive (underdog) odds. Odds are set according to what oddsmakers feel are each team’s probability of winning. All you have do is pick the outright winner.
- Spreads: A bet on one team to win an NBA playoff game with a spread set by oddsmakers factored into the final score.
- Totals: A bet on whether the total score in an NBA playoff game will be over or under a line set by oddsmakers.
- Parlays: Two or more basic bets put together into one wager. All legs of a parlay must win to get paid.
How To Bet On Nba Playoffs Online
Betting on the NBA playoffs first-round series
You can always pick a team to win it all and put a bet down it. Outside of that, the easiest way to wager on the NBA playoffs is to pick winners in each series.
The first round of seven-game series featuring all 16 NBA playoffs teams begins April 13. Most legal sportsbooks across the US will have odds set on who will win each series.
Here’s a look at the odds on the first-round series at two of the top sportsbooks in the country as of April 11:
How To Bet On Nba Playoffs
NBA Playoffs 1st Round Series | FanDuel Sportsbook (NJ) | Parx Sportsbook (PA) |
---|---|---|
Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets | Philadelphia -650 Brooklyn +410 | Philadelphia -835 Brooklyn +550 |
Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz | Houston -300 Utah +230 | Houston -375 Utah +275 |
Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers | Golden State -20000 Los Angeles +5500 | Golden State N/A Los Angeles +2000 |
Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic | Toronto -1200 Orlando +710 | Toronto -1250 Orlando +725 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons | Milwaukee -4000 Detroit +1650 | Milwaukee -10000 Detroit +1700 |
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs | Denver -240 San Antonio +190 | Denver -286 San Antonio +220 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland +122 Oklahoma City -148 | Portland +115 Oklahoma City -143 |
Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers | Boston -460 Indiana +330 | Boston -560 Indiana +400 |
Even if you’re not in New Jersey or Pennsylvania, you should find similar odds you can bet on at legal sportsbooks in:
- New Mexico (At Santa Ana Star Casino & Hotel only)
How To Bet Nba Games
If you can, it’s always a good idea to shop around for the best price these and other bets. Then, lock it in when you find the most favorable.
Legal sportsbooks can also be a fun place to watch NBA playoff games. Most will offer live in-play betting options on NBA playoff games. This allows you to make wagers with odds that are adjusted throughout each game.
How To Bet Nba Finals
Enjoy the NBA playoffs and good luck, no matter how you choose to bet on it.